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Dear Dairy: 89% Were Bullish. GDT Fell 1.1%. What Did We Miss?
Event 412 broke the recent winning streak. The headline call was wrong — but underneath it, dairy markets are becoming more divided. Dear Dairy, Sometimes the useful part of a forecast is getting it right. Sometimes it is understanding why it was wrong. Ahead of GDT Event 412, 35 people voted in the Dear Dairy poll: 34% expected a rise above 2.5% 54% expected a rise between 0% and 2.5% 11% expected a decline between 0% and 2.5% 0% expected a decline greater than 2.5% That mea
Sebastian Kudron
4 days ago5 min read


Dear Dairy: GDT +0.9%. The Bullish Call Was Right, but the Market Is Splitting
86% of Dear Dairy respondents expected the market to rise. GDT Event 411 delivered another positive result, but strong powders and weak fats and cheese are creating a much more complicated picture for Q4. Global dairy markets entered September with another positive GDT result. Global Dairy Trade Event 411 finished 0.9% higher, extending the current sequence to four consecutive positive full Trading Events. The average winning price reached USD 3,910 per metric tonne, with app
Sebastian Kudron
Sep 26 min read
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